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This blog is part of an ongoing series, A Brave New World: Therapeutic Area Deep Dives.
The explosive demand for GLP-1 (glucagon-like peptide-1) receptor agonists, driven by their efficacy in treating obesity, has outpaced supply and created a dynamic market landscape. When branded therapies of semaglutide (Ozempic and Wegovy) and tirzepatide (Mounjaro and Zepbound) commanded high prices and faced prolonged shortages from late 2022 through early 2025, compounding pharmacies emerged as alternative providers offering lower-cost formulations. Enabled by telehealth platforms and direct-to-consumer models, compounded GLP-1s gained significant traction during the shortage period. Now, even as supply stabilizes and FDA shortage designations are lifted, compounded versions remain active in the market, raising critical questions around regulatory oversight, market sustainability, and long-term implications for branded manufacturers.
Despite the resolution of GLP-1 shortages and increased regulatory scrutiny, compounded prescriptions for semaglutide and tirzepatide continue to rise. From late 2022 through early 2025, widespread supply constraints prompted the FDA to permit compounding under Sections 503A and 503B of the Food, Drug, and Cosmetic Act. This temporary allowance enabled pharmacies to meet surging demand, particularly among patients seeking anti-obesity medications who now represent approximately 83% of the compounded GLP-1 market.
Although the FDA officially removed tirzepatide from the shortage list in December 2024 and semaglutide in February 2025, compounded prescribing has not abated. Compounders were expected to cease production of tirzepatide by March 2025 and semaglutide by May 2025, yet both remain active in the market. Not only have the molecules remained on the market, utilization is increasing, suggesting that some pharmacies may be leveraging formulation additives or alternative delivery mechanisms to justify continued production. While semaglutide remains the most common prescribed compounded molecule, the share of tirzepatide is increasing over time.
Prescription volume, for both total (TRx) and new-to-brand (NBRx), continues to grow, driven by ongoing patient demand and the expansion of telehealth-enabled access. This trend underscores the resilience of the compounding segment and raises important questions about enforcement, clinical oversight, and the future role of compounded therapies in chronic disease management.
Direct-to-consumer marketing by telehealth platforms and compounding pharmacies has fueled demand for compounded GLP-1 therapies, promoted as affordable and personalized alternatives. In response, branded manufacturers such as Lilly and Novo Nordisk have launched consumer-facing initiatives to reinforce the safety, efficacy, and regulatory oversight of FDA-approved products. Lilly promotes its LillyDirect® cash-pay program and has partnered with Ro to expand access. Novo Nordisk offers a similar cash-pay option through GoodRx and NovoCare® Pharmacy, which briefly collaborated with Hims and Hers before ending the partnership due to conflicting compounded offerings. Novo also launched its “Check Before You Inject” campaign to educate patients on the risks associated with unregulated formulations. Peer-to-peer discussions have further fueled interest in “microdosing,” with compounded vials offering greater dosing flexibility than fixed-dose pens.
A key factor sustaining the compounded GLP-1 market post-shortage is the widespread use of additives. Over 80% of compounded semaglutide and tirzepatide prescriptions now include supplemental ingredients such as B vitamins (B6, B12, B3) or levocarnitine. These additions are often positioned as enhancements to energy metabolism or weight loss support, and may serve as a rationale for continued compounding despite the FDA’s resolution of supply shortages.
Interestingly, the prevalence of additives has increased in parallel with the end of the shortage period, suggesting that some compounders may be utilizing these modifications to differentiate their products or navigate regulatory ambiguity. However, this trend raises important concerns. Additives can alter pharmacokinetics, potentially impacting the efficacy of the active molecule. Moreover, safety risks are emerging, particularly when compounded formulations include substances not found in FDA-approved versions1.
Recent regulatory guidance underscores the risks associated with compounding GLP-1s using additives such as B12 or glycine. The FDA has clarified that pharmacies may not rely on additive inclusion alone to justify a “significant difference” from approved products. Such differences must be medically necessary and documented for individual patients. Prescribers who authorize compounded combinations without appropriate clinical justification may face increased scrutiny or liability under federal and state law2.
As compounding pharmacies continue to develop around additive combinations, pharmaceutical stakeholders must closely monitor the clinical and regulatory implications. The evolving landscape underscores the need for clear enforcement, robust pharmacovigilance, and strategic engagement to protect patient safety and preserve brand integrity.
Patient behavior reveals a stark contrast between compounded and branded GLP-1 therapies, particularly in terms of adherence and persistency. By month three, a clear separation emerges, with compounded users demonstrating significantly lower continuation rates. This drop-off may be attributed to a subset of patients—often impulse buyers—seeking rapid weight loss rather than committing to long-term therapeutic regimens. Additionally, compounded products are typically paid for out-of-pocket, which can be more financially prohibitive than branded therapies covered under commercial insurance plans.
Despite the growing presence of compounded GLP-1s, switching to branded alternatives remains rare. In a snapshot of monthly transitions, only 2 percent of compounded patients move to branded products. Among anti-obesity medication (AOM) users, the switch rate is just 2 percent, while type 2 diabetes (T2D) patients show a slightly higher rate at 7 percent, likely due to broader payer coverage for branded diabetes therapies.
For the small cohort of AOM patients who do switch, tirzepatide is the most common agent, and nearly half opt to pay cash for Zepbound, often through LillyDirect’s direct-to-consumer platform. The remaining patients rely on commercial insurance to access branded options. These patterns suggest that cost remains a significant barrier to switching, and when patients do transition, they gravitate toward accessible cash-pay programs or insurance-supported channels.
Understanding these behavioral dynamics is critical for pharmaceutical stakeholders assessing market retention, pricing strategies, and patient engagement models in the evolving GLP-1 landscape.
The GLP-1 market has exposed how quickly alternative channels like telehealth platforms and compounding pharmacies can scale and disrupt traditional brand management. Lessons learned are not limited to only obesity treatment. To remain competitive, manufacturers across the industry must respond with precision, building internal solutions that meet patient expectations while protecting brand integrity.
Manufacturers that embrace these tactics and build strategies around patient-centric, channel-diverse models will be best positioned to succeed in today’s competitive therapeutic landscape. Reach out to IQVIA to learn more about how to build successful strategies like those seen in the GLP-1s.
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This blog is part of a new series exploring a range of topics in the obesity market, including: market size and scope, impact of payer controls, activity in non-traditional channels, patient behavior, GLP-1 impact, HCP responses, the policy landscape, pharmacy economics, and the outlook for the future of GLP-1. You can find all of our Brave New World content in the U.S. Insights Library.
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