

RNA therapeutics have moved rapidly from an emerging research area to a mainstream drug modality, accelerated by the success of mRNA vaccines. From the first approval of fomivirsen in 1998 for cytomegalovirus (CMV) retinitis, to the wave of rare disease approvals in the 2010s, RNA has established itself as a technology capable of addressing areas of highest unmet need. Today, this foundation is enabling an expansion far beyond rare diseases, with RNA therapeutics rapidly gaining traction in highly prevalent conditions such as cardiovascular disease and obesity.
This pioneering field is experiencing rapid growth, supported by 734 ongoing clinical trials and estimated sales of over $7 billion in 2025, excluding prophylactic vaccines (Figure 1). This momentum reflects increasing investment and attention from major pharmaceutical and biotech companies, with RNA licensing deal value exceeding $17 billion in 2025.1 With an estimated 25 FDA-approved RNA therapeutics to date, and landmark approvals such as nusinersen and vutrisiran establishing a strong foundation, the field is well positioned for continued success, with several key clinical trial readouts expected in 2026. This momentum is unfolding against a backdrop of strengthening investment, as biopharma M&A activity rebounded in 2025 to $133 billion, while licensing activity reached a 10 ‑year high of $232 billion – an encouraging signal for sustained RNA innovation.2
Despite this progress, the field faces notable challenges such as increasing politicisation. For example, the U.S. Department of Health and Human Services cut roughly $500 million in mRNA funding in 2025, citing concerns about safety and broad applicability.3 Additionally, the FDA initially rejected Moderna’s application for a new mRNA influenza vaccine before later reversing its decision, against a backdrop of heightened political scrutiny of mRNA technologies under the Trump administration.4,5 However, the long-term outlook for RNA therapeutics remains extremely positive. Breakthrough innovation is underpinned by next generation RNA technologies that are overcoming prior generation constraints. These advances firmly anchor RNA therapies within the treatment landscape and are driving expansion into new therapeutic frontiers.
The success of mRNA COVID-19 vaccines showcased the platform’s exceptional speed, versatility and scalability, as illustrated by the Pfizer-BioNTech vaccine, which took just 11 months from research to approval in the UK.6 Nonetheless, this achievement represents only the beginning of the RNA therapeutic journey. Beyond prophylactic vaccines, RNA therapeutics represent a rapidly expanding toolkit capable of restoring, silencing, or rewriting biological functions across a wide range of diseases and modalities. As existing modalities mature, novel approaches are also entering clinical development (Figure 2).
The evolving landscape of RNA therapeutics can be broadly grouped into the following categories according to their intended effects and mechanisms of action:
The RNA therapeutics pipeline has continued to surge over the last 5 years (Figure 3). Following the landmark successes of RNA therapies in the early 2020s (led by the mRNA COVID-19 vaccines), many companies have accelerated their RNA R&D efforts beyond prophylactic vaccines. Key players include Moderna, BioNTech, Alnylam, Ionis and Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals. Additionally, emerging biopharma companies (EBPs) dominate the pipeline, accounting for more than 55% of trials. Reflecting this continued innovation, the number of clinical trial starts is expected to hit a record high of approximately 164 in 2025, following dramatic growth since 2023. This considerable rise has likely been fuelled not only by the rapid expansion of siRNA technologies, but also by the emergence of novel modalities such as miRNAs and RNA editing.
RNA therapeutics targeting the central nervous system (CNS) and the cardiovascular, renal, and metabolic (CVMR) systems are also rapidly emerging as key drivers of growth in a field once confined to rare genetic diseases. Powered by the recent cardiometabolic renaissance, these expansive therapy areas address far larger patient populations and are therefore a driving force behind the accelerating number of clinical trials.
siRNAs are the most established modality, accounting for 37% of ongoing clinical trials. Among the standout candidates is WVE-007 (Wave Life Sciences), an obesity-targeting siRNA therapy that delivered promising results in its Phase 1 trial reported in December 2025.7 Remarkably, participants experienced comparable fat loss to GLP-1 treatments but without the associated muscle loss and from just a single dose across a 12-week period. With six-month follow up data expected in Q1 2026, momentum in this space continues to build. Meanwhile, a pivotal Phase 3 clinical trial is investigating whether inclisiran (Novartis), a recently approved cholesterol-lowering siRNA, can safely reduce the incidence of heart attacks and strokes.8
ASOs follow closely behind siRNAs as the second largest RNA modality, representing 33% of clinical trials. One of the most anticipated candidates in this space is pelacarsen (Novartis/Ionis), currently under evaluation in the pivotal Phase 3 trial for lowering lipoprotein(a), with results expected in H1 2026.9 Meanwhile, mRNA-based therapeutics form the third largest segment, accounting for 13% of ongoing trials and expanding far beyond their early infectious disease footprint. These include a potential breakthrough mRNA vaccine for high-risk skin cancers (Moderna/Merck), investigated in the KEYNOTE-942 trial. Recent positive results revealed that, when administered alongside Keytruda, the vaccine demonstrated a 49% reduction in the risk of cancer recurrence and death over a 5-year period.10
Beyond these core modalities, the RNA therapeutics landscape is witnessing a wave of novel approaches and notable firsts. These include RXRG-001 (RiboX Therapeutics), the first circRNA therapy to enter human clinical trials, now in Phase 1 for ophthalmological indications.11 Interest in miRNA-based treatments is also rising, exemplified by AMT-130 (uniQure), the first one-time gene therapy for Huntington’s disease.12 However, AMT-130 has recently faced a regulatory hurdle from the FDA concerning trial design.13
Beyond these modalities, a new generation of RNA-enabled gene-editing assets is also emerging, such as VERVE-101 (Verve Therapeutics), which targets the PCSK9 gene to lower LDL-C levels in patients with familial hypercholesterolaemia.14 With major clinical readouts on the horizon in 2026 and beyond, RNA therapeutics are on track for another year of transformative progress.
As we look ahead, the outlook of RNA therapies can be categorised into three key themes: scientific, commercial and macroenvironmental trends (Figure 3). Overarching factors include public and private pressures on biopharma innovation, coupled with the unique therapeutic complexity and scalability challenges of RNA therapeutics. Across these pillars, we highlight key challenges and issues that must be overcome to realise the full potential of RNA medicine.
Scientific:
Commercial:
Macroenvironmental:
The next phase of RNA will depend not only on scientific excellence but whether the field is able to address and overcome existing limitations. Better delivery, improved stability, broader tissue targeting, and durable efficacy will matter most. Progress on these fronts will decide if RNA moves from promising biology to reliable, long-term treatment across a wider range of disease.
The bigger test is translation. RNA has proven its value across rare diseases and now needs to show the same impact in chronic diseases with large patient populations and established standard of care. To succeed, innovators must demonstrate clear, measurable benefits under real cost and market access pressures. Those who can align scientific excellence with realities of care delivery will shape the next frontier of RNA therapeutics.
The authors of this blog would like to thank Seren Ford, a University of Oxford student, for her data analysis and research contributions.
References
1. Citeline Trialtrove; IQVIA Analytics Link; IQVIA Pharma Deals; secondary research
2. Biopharma M&A: Outlook for 2026; IQVIA blog, January 2026: https://www.iqvia.com/locations/emea/blogs/2026/01/biopharma-m-and-a-outlook-for-2026
3. HHS cancels mRNA vaccine development funded by BARDA; Fierce Biotech, August 2025: https://www.fiercebiotech.com/biotech/hhs-cancels-all-mrna-vaccine-development-funded-barda
4. FDA refuses to review Moderna’s influenza vaccine; STAT news, February 2026: https://www.statnews.com/2026/02/10/fda-refuses-review-moderna-flu-vaccine-application/
5. FDA agrees to review Moderna’s mRNA flu vaccine application in a reversal; CNBC, February 18: https://www.cnbc.com/2026/02/18/fda-agrees-to-review-modernas-flu-shot-application-after-refusal.html?msockid=22eef1da59cb66242119e6c858be6707
6. UK approved Pfizer-BioNTech COVID-19 vaccine in world first; Reuters, December 2020: https://www.reuters.com/world/uk/uk-approves-pfizer-biontech-covid-19-vaccine-world-first-2020-12-02/
7. Wave Life Sciences Announces Positive Interim Data from Phase 1 INLIGHT Trial of WVE-007 (INHBE) for Obesity; Wave Life Sciences press release, December 2025: https://ir.wavelifesciences.com/news-releases/news-release-details/wave-life-sciences-announces-positive-interim-data-phase-1
8. A Randomized Trial Assessing the Effects of Inclisiran on Clinical Outcomes Among People With Cardiovascular Disease; ClinicalTrials.gov, Accessed February 2026: https://clinicaltrials.gov/study/NCT03705234
9. Lp(a) Lowering Study of Pelacarsen (TQJ230) With Background Inclisiran in Participants With Elevated Lp(a) and Established ASCVD; Novartis press release, February 2026: https://www.novartis.com/clinicaltrials/study/nct06813911
10. Moderna, Merck’s skin cancer vaccine shows sustained benefit in five-year follow-up; Reuters, January 2026: https://www.reuters.com/business/healthcare-pharmaceuticals/moderna-mercks-skin-cancer-vaccine-shows-sustained-benefit-after-five-years-2026-01-20/
11. RiboX's Circular RNA Therapy RXRG001 Cleared for Phase 1/2a Trial in Radiation-Induced Xerostomia and Hyposalivation; CGT live, November 2024: https://www.cgtlive.com/view/ribox-circular-rna-therapy-rxrg001-cleared-phase-trial-radiation-induced-xerostomia-hyposalivation
12. Phase I/II Clinical Trial of AMT-130; uniQURE article, Accessed February 2026: https://www.uniqure.com/programs-pipeline/phase-1-2-clinical-trial-of-amt-130
13. uniQure's ballyhooed gene therapy for Huntington's hits FDA roadblock; Fierce Biotech, November 2025: https://www.fiercebiotech.com/biotech/uniqure-ballyhooed-gene-therapy-huntingtons-hits-fda-roadblock
14. An Investigational DNA Base Editing Medicine Designed to Durably Inactivate the PCSK9 Gene and Lower LDL Cholesterol – Interim Results of the Phase 1b heart-1 Trial; Verve Therapeutics, November 2023: https://www.vervetx.com/sites/default/files/2023-11/Verve_AHA_2023_LBS_for%20website.pdf