Grow your brand, now and through patent expiry
This blog is part of an ongoing series, A Brave New World: Finding life sciences success in modern markets.
The U.S. pharmaceutical landscape is undergoing a seismic shift. With the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) now in effect and the Trump administration’s 2025 Executive Order on Most Favored Nation (MFN) pricing gaining traction, drugmakers are facing unprecedented pricing pressure. These policy changes are transpiring against the backdrop of continuously evolving patient preferences and needs. Patients increasingly expect a “consumer-like” healthcare experience and are more willing to pay directly for medicines they want and require. Thus, early pharma movers are testing out new models across multiple diseases and are demonstrating that patients are indeed willing to pay cash in lieu of access.
Policy reforms aimed at reducing costs for Medicare and patients, combined with patient demand, may serve as an unexpected catalyst for drug manufacturers to usher in a new era of direct-to-consumer (DTC) or direct-to-patient strategies. DTC programs are emerging business models, where manufacturers bypass traditional intermediaries such as pharmacy benefit managers (PBMs), traditional insurance, and pharmacy distributors to engage patients directly.
The IRA grants Medicare the authority to negotiate prices for high-cost, single-source drugs under Parts B and D. The first negotiated prices are set to take effect in 2026, targeting drugs that have been on the market for at least 7 years (small molecules) or 11 years (biologics), and lack generic or biosimilar competition. With discounts as steep as 80% off list price, the negotiated price for Medicare creates new price floors that can convert to affordable cash prices.
Layered on top of this is the MFN Executive Order, which aims to align U.S. drug prices with those in other developed countries. This global benchmarking could further compress margins for blockbuster therapies, especially those with high U.S. list prices. When combined with price pressures from 340B dynamics, an often difficult-to-see but very real price discount, the realized net price for many older brands can be well below 20% of the list price. For many products, that means that offering a DTC price begins to make strategic and economic sense.
Pharma’s traditional model of selling through wholesalers, PBMs, and pharmacies relies heavily on negotiated rebates, which leads to opaque pricing. But as the IRA, MFN provisions, and other discounts squeeze net prices amidst calls for increased transparency, manufacturers are exploring alternative channels to preserve revenue and control the patient experience.
Enter DTC. DTC initiatives offer a new model: manufacturers create a platform that pulls together different solutions in a pharma-branded digital ecosystem. This allows patients to access prescription medications directly, often bundled with disease education resources, telehealth consultations, pharmacy fulfillment, and patient support services, among others. These platforms, such as LillyDirect®, PfizerForAll™, and NovoCare® function as an end-to-end digital ecosystem, offering branded medications at discounted cash prices that bypass insurance.
While DTC programs offer strategic advantages, they also introduce new risks that pharma leaders must now navigate carefully:
Not all brands have patient cost sensitivity thresholds that work for DTC programs. Brands with high patient abandonment at lower copays will struggle to find a price point that makes sense in the marketplace. The DTC programs worked for obesity medications because patients were willing to come out of pocket at prices that made sense for the manufacturers to sell directly.
For brands that are considering DTC programs in response to MFN pressures, the pricing calculus must overlay patient cost sensitivity to the commercial evaluation. Depending on a brand’s lifecycle stage, net prices, and required promotional efforts, DTC price points may not operate at a positive margin. It is when the patient price sensitivity exceeds the net value of a prescription that DTC programs make financial sense.
If the IRA’s price negotiation model proves durable and the current administration follows through on drug price reform, we can expect more manufacturers to offer patient-centered programs into the market. DTC may evolve from a niche experiment into a core commercial strategy, particularly for drugs selected for price negotiation, nearing loss of exclusivity, or that have market access hurdles and high rebates. For patients, this could also mean:
For pharma strategists, the convergence of policy reform and digital health infrastructure presents both a challenge and an opportunity. DTC isn’t just a workaround, it’s a strategic hedge against a future where pricing power is no longer guaranteed while also tapping into rising consumerism. With the IRA, MFN, and 340B changing the drug pricing calculus and patients seeking convenience, DTC could become essential for success in today’s market.
Manufacturers exploring these strategies must work through the complexity of the patient journey, understand the impact of formulary access, balance net prices, and work through the logistics of program design. DTC programs are complex. IQVIA is well positioned to help throughout the evaluation, design, implementation, and measurement of putting these programs into the marketplace.
As pharma faces the steepest Loss of Exclusivity wave in over a decade, dubbed Patent Cliff 2.0, executives must act fast. With over $90B in net manufacturer losses projected between 2025–2029, and generics and biosimilars poised to disrupt major therapeutic areas, the impact will be widespread. This blog explores what’s at stake and how leaders can prepare.
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